2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and choose

The 2012 Euro Cup is right down to the final four teams, when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon are going to playing to manage the winner with the Spain vs. Portugal game that can place later today.
Recent history between these two teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't worry about days gone by, they are focused on the sport taking place.
The German squad haven't ever beaten Italy in the competitive match.
"We can't turn back time, forget about about this, yesteryear doesn't may play a role in our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is always that Germany has not won against Italy inside a major tournament, but what exactly?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's the perfect time for Germany to win as these are the widely used at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game is going to be a tough, hard fought more info match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong method with this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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